Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

118 – 67.72

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

276 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 124.1 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 319.5 ±16

8725MistyPanther

Season APEX 206.3Event APEX 55.14Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11401Glorious Robotics

Season APEX 56.7Event APEX 58.29Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 82

9441Aero Jr

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 4.57Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 273.6 ±14.9

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 58.29Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5773YAFL Mechatronics

Season APEX 31.4Event APEX 4.57Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10244WOLFS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 4.86Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8725, 11401, 9441

/ 100 compat

Projected

118 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 8725, 11401, 9441

Auto

26.6 23%

Teleop

66.0 57%

Endgame

24.0 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7632, 5773, 10244

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.7 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 7632, 5773, 10244

Auto

17.1 25%

Teleop

31.4 46%

Endgame

19.1 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.84 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score118pts

Blue projected score67.7pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 50.3
Score range: 50–136
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 434 vs event baseline 97.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

319.5Season APEX273.6

26.6Auto17.1

66Teleop31.4

24Endgame19.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	25
teleop	101	85
endgame	70	48
foul	75	0
total	276	158

Result

Final score

276 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 124.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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