Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

217.51 – 199.58

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

247 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 28.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 397.2 ±11.2

7672SCORPIONS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 24.05Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5665FENERBAHÇE DOGUS SPARC

Season APEX 148.2Event APEX 59.21Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 134.25Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 261.2 ±11.6

9079Mechanic storm

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 30.82Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6431NoktaParantez

Season APEX 154Event APEX 107.6Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10428KAIZEN

Season APEX 65Event APEX 61.16Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7672, 5665, 7632

/ 100 compat

Projected

217.5 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 7672, 5665, 7632

Auto

45.0 21%

Teleop

125.9 58%

Endgame

47.2 22%

Strengths

· 7632 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9079, 6431, 10428

/ 100 compat

Projected

199.6 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9079, 6431, 10428

Auto

26.6 15%

Teleop

103.7 58%

Endgame

47.2 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score217.5pts

Blue projected score199.6pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 17.9
Score range: 178–240
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 474 vs event baseline 124.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

397.2Season APEX261.2

45Auto26.6

125.9Teleop103.7

47.2Endgame47.2

35Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	19
teleop	135	130
endgame	56	63
foul	0	15
total	247	227

Result

Final score

247 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 28.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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