Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 308.33

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 328

Prediction correct · off by 31.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198.9 ±12.7

10914Team Variant

Season APEX 22.2Event APEX 9.26Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 79

6988ACI35

Season APEX 142.2Event APEX -1.35Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9583Lavender Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX -15.62Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 502.8 ±11

5883Spice Gears

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 69.57Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10213BALTA

Season APEX 217.9Event APEX 99.58Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8725MistyPanther

Season APEX 206.3Event APEX 139.18Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10914, 6988, 9583

/ 100 compat

Projected

-7.7 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 10914, 6988, 9583

Auto

7.1 0%

Teleop

-8.9 100%

Endgame

0.5 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5883, 10213, 8725

/ 100 compat

Projected

308.3 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 5883, 10213, 8725

Auto

46.9 16%

Teleop

170.5 59%

Endgame

72.8 25%

Strengths

· 8725 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.37 · Blue 2.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score-7.7pts

Blue projected score308.3pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -308.3
Score range: -22–330
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 371 vs event baseline 123.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198.9Season APEX502.8

7.1Auto46.9

-8.9Teleop170.5

0.5Endgame72.8

14Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	59
teleop	6	195
endgame	10	74
foul	10	0
total	43	328

Result

Final score

43 – 328

Prediction correct · off by 31.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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