Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

113.48188.4

28%72%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

114122

Prediction correct · off by 33.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 280.2 ±13.6
Season APEX 142.2Event APEX 0.13Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 31.9Event APEX 26.79Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 86.56Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 487.5 ±13.6
Season APEX 154Event APEX 111.62Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 38.2Event APEX 8.03Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80
Season APEX 295.3Event APEX 68.75Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6988, 11255, 6948
56
/ 100 compat
Projected
113.5 pts
~1.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 6988, 11255, 6948
Auto
27.4 25%
Teleop
59.6 54%
Endgame
22.8 21%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6431, 10920, 9001
77
/ 100 compat
Projected
188.4 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 6431, 10920, 9001
Auto
29.3 17%
Teleop
97.4 57%
Endgame
42.8 25%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.1 · Blue 2
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score113.5pts
Blue projected score188.4pts
Red win probability28%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-74.9
Score range
89212
Upset likelihood
28%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 236 vs event baseline 135.3.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

280.2Season APEX487.5
27.4Auto29.3
59.6Teleop97.4
22.8Endgame42.8
11Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1531
teleop5574
endgame442
foul015
total114122

Result

Final score

114122

Prediction correct · off by 33.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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