Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

231.81 – 157.57

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

238 – 273

Prediction missed · off by 60.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 309.1 ±13.6

8725MistyPanther

Season APEX 206.3Event APEX 155.93Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6838X-SHARC

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 38.82Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11095The Flying Cats

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 37.06Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 489.4 ±10.4

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 106.44Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6417Fridolins

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 64.55Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6988ACI35

Season APEX 142.2Event APEX -13.42Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8725, 6838, 11095

/ 100 compat

Projected

231.8 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8725, 6838, 11095

Auto

36.4 18%

Teleop

119.3 58%

Endgame

48.9 24%

Strengths

· 8725 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7632, 6417, 6988

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.6 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7632, 6417, 6988

Auto

35.9 23%

Teleop

79.8 52%

Endgame

37.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.9 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score231.8pts

Blue projected score157.6pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 74.2
Score range: 136–254
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 511 vs event baseline 122.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

309.1Season APEX489.4

36.4Auto35.9

119.3Teleop79.8

48.9Endgame37.4

38Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	55
teleop	107	149
endgame	73	54
foul	10	15
total	238	273

Result

Final score

238 – 273

Prediction missed · off by 60.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.