Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

73.07 – 109.06

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

114 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 27.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 160.7 ±14.6

7672SCORPIONS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 16.38Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10920F²

Season APEX 38.2Event APEX 4.93Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

8169Aries

Season APEX 63Event APEX 51.76Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 319.2 ±14.9

10244WOLFS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 17.49Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9610Blue Ivy

Season APEX 48.6Event APEX -6.15Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10213BALTA

Season APEX 217.9Event APEX 97.72Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7672, 10920, 8169

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.1 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 7672, 10920, 8169

Auto

27.8 44%

Teleop

22.1 35%

Endgame

14.0 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10244, 9610, 10213

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.1 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 10244, 9610, 10213

Auto

21.0 19%

Teleop

52.6 48%

Endgame

35.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score73.1pts

Blue projected score109.1pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -36
Score range: 52–130
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 238 vs event baseline 116.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

160.7Season APEX319.2

27.8Auto21

22.1Teleop52.6

14Endgame35.4

58Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	24
teleop	54	77
endgame	31	23
foul	5	0
total	114	124

Result

Final score

114 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 27.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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