Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

26.25157.69

16%84%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

25157

Prediction correct · off by 1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 101.5 ±16.9
Season APEX 19.8Event APEX -4.59Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 22.27Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 22.2Event APEX 8.57Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 79
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 200.8 ±14.8
Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 31.53Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 102.37Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 23.79Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7729, 7672, 10914
16
/ 100 compat
Projected
26.3 pts
~0.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 7729, 7672, 10914
Auto
11.3 30%
Teleop
4.6 12%
Endgame
21.7 58%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6838, 6948, 11164
73
/ 100 compat
Projected
157.7 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 6838, 6948, 11164
Auto
28.2 18%
Teleop
96.3 62%
Endgame
31.1 20%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.2
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score26.3pts
Blue projected score157.7pts
Red win probability16%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-131.4
Score range
5179
Upset likelihood
16%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 182 vs event baseline 117.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

101.5Season APEX200.8
11.3Auto28.2
4.6Teleop96.3
21.7Endgame31.1
42Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto846
teleop1177
endgame134
foul50
total25157

Result

Final score

25157

Prediction correct · off by 1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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