Qualification · Qualification 33
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
26.25 – 157.69
16%84%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
25 – 157
Prediction correct · off by 1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 101.5 ±16.9
Season APEX 19.8Event APEX -4.59Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 22.27Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 22.2Event APEX 8.57Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 79
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 200.8 ±14.8
Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 31.53Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 102.37Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 23.79Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7729, 7672, 10914
16
/ 100 compatProjected
26.3 pts
~0.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 7729, 7672, 10914
Auto
11.3 30%
Teleop
4.6 12%
Endgame
21.7 58%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6838, 6948, 11164
73
/ 100 compatProjected
157.7 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 6838, 6948, 11164
Auto
28.2 18%
Teleop
96.3 62%
Endgame
31.1 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.2
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score26.3pts
Blue projected score157.7pts
Red win probability16%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -131.4
- Score range
- 5–179
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
101.5Season APEX200.8
11.3Auto28.2
4.6Teleop96.3
21.7Endgame31.1
42Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 46 |
| teleop | 11 | 77 |
| endgame | 1 | 34 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 25 | 157 |
Result
Final score
25 – 157
Prediction correct · off by 1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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