Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

122.74 – 64.39

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

238 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 62.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 454 ±14.1

6948EAGLES

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 86.11Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11095The Flying Cats

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX -13.68Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

9001Delta Force

A+

Season APEX 295.3Event APEX 50.31Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 146.9 ±15.8

10428KAIZEN

Season APEX 65Event APEX 27.9Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9468Team Sirius

Season APEX 53.6Event APEX 18.84Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

10261PYRONEERS

Season APEX 28.3Event APEX 17.65Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6948, 11095, 9001

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.7 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6948, 11095, 9001

Auto

28.3 24%

Teleop

71.5 60%

Endgame

18.6 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10428, 9468, 10261

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.4 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 10428, 9468, 10261

Auto

5.2 8%

Teleop

29.2 43%

Endgame

33.9 50%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score122.7pts

Blue projected score64.4pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 58.4
Score range: 43–144
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 293 vs event baseline 116.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

454Season APEX146.9

28.3Auto5.2

71.5Teleop29.2

18.6Endgame33.9

57Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	21
teleop	155	17
endgame	42	17
foul	15	0
total	238	55

Result

Final score

238 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 62.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.