Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.12 – 143.07

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

144 – 285

Prediction correct · off by 103.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 290.6 ±12.7

10213BALTA

Season APEX 217.9Event APEX 54.06Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10920F²

Season APEX 38.2Event APEX 4.94Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

9583Lavender Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 20.12Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 464.6 ±11

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 79.15Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6948EAGLES

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 55.4Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9427iDeer

Season APEX 169Event APEX 8.52Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10213, 10920, 9583

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.1 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 10213, 10920, 9583

Auto

22.3 29%

Teleop

50.7 65%

Endgame

4.5 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7632, 6948, 9427

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.1 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 7632, 6948, 9427

Auto

32.4 22%

Teleop

78.7 53%

Endgame

37.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.06 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score79.1pts

Blue projected score143.1pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -63.9
Score range: 60–162
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 429 vs event baseline 103.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

290.6Season APEX464.6

22.3Auto32.4

50.7Teleop78.7

4.5Endgame37.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	51
teleop	74	178
endgame	38	56
foul	5	0
total	144	285

Result

Final score

144 – 285

Prediction correct · off by 103.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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