Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

90.41 – 67.59

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

39 – 123

Prediction missed · off by 53.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 251.5 ±15.4

6988ACI35

Season APEX 142.2Event APEX 12.67Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11401Glorious Robotics

Season APEX 56.7Event APEX 80.6Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 82

11095The Flying Cats

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX -2.86Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.6 ±14

5665FENERBAHÇE DOGUS SPARC

Season APEX 148.2Event APEX 13.14Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5773YAFL Mechatronics

Season APEX 31.4Event APEX 21.4Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 77

8169Aries

Season APEX 63Event APEX 33.05Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6988, 11401, 11095

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.4 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6988, 11401, 11095

Auto

14.7 22%

Teleop

24.8 37%

Endgame

28.3 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5665, 5773, 8169

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.6 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 5665, 5773, 8169

Auto

22.6 32%

Teleop

43.6 61%

Endgame

5.0 7%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score90.4pts

Blue projected score67.6pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 22.8
Score range: 48–110
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 162 vs event baseline 110.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

251.5Season APEX242.6

14.7Auto22.6

24.8Teleop43.6

28.3Endgame5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	29
teleop	7	55
endgame	5	34
foul	10	5
total	39	123

Result

Final score

39 – 123

Prediction missed · off by 53.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.