Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

290.06 – 142.87

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

252 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 50.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 426.3 ±12.4

8725MistyPanther

Season APEX 206.3Event APEX 141.7Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11166LionTECH

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 11.92Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 83

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 136.44Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 498.8 ±10.5

9583Lavender Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 0.11Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9427iDeer

Season APEX 169Event APEX 76.02Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9001Delta Force

A+

Season APEX 295.3Event APEX 66.74Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8725, 11166, 7632

/ 100 compat

Projected

290.1 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 8725, 11166, 7632

Auto

57.0 20%

Teleop

169.5 60%

Endgame

57.3 20%

Strengths

· 8725 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9583, 9427, 9001

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.9 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9583, 9427, 9001

Auto

43.0 31%

Teleop

61.8 45%

Endgame

32.0 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.27 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score290.1pts

Blue projected score142.9pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 147.2
Score range: 119–314
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 458 vs event baseline 134.2.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

426.3Season APEX498.8

57Auto43

169.5Teleop61.8

57.3Endgame32

14Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	79	55
teleop	127	100
endgame	46	51
foul	0	0
total	252	206

Result

Final score

252 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 50.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.