Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

284.18 – 148.5

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

329 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 48.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 426.3 ±12.4

8725MistyPanther

Season APEX 206.3Event APEX 139.64Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11166LionTECH

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 10.17Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 83

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 134.37Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 498.8 ±10.5

9583Lavender Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 1.84Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9427iDeer

Season APEX 169Event APEX 78.02Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9001Delta Force

A+

Season APEX 295.3Event APEX 68.64Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8725, 11166, 7632

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.2 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 8725, 11166, 7632

Auto

54.7 20%

Teleop

162.7 59%

Endgame

60.3 22%

Strengths

· 8725 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9583, 9427, 9001

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.5 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9583, 9427, 9001

Auto

42.7 30%

Teleop

67.6 48%

Endgame

31.4 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score284.2pts

Blue projected score148.5pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 135.7
Score range: 125–308
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 425 vs event baseline 133.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

426.3Season APEX498.8

54.7Auto42.7

162.7Teleop67.6

60.3Endgame31.4

21Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	46
teleop	215	14
endgame	36	36
foul	5	0
total	329	96

Result

Final score

329 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 48.7 pts

Match videos

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