Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

295.47 – 289.24

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

189 – 398

Prediction missed · off by 107.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 457.4 ±17.5

64294th Dimension

Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 138.44Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10689KAGITHANE TEKNOLOJI TAKIMI

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 43.46Rank 26Record 2-4-1Status establishedConfidence 76

7444MOON STAR ROBOTICS

Season APEX 149Event APEX 113.57Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 488.6 ±14.8

6985ENKA TECH

Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 97.39Rank 4Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9089ACS Phoenix

Season APEX 88.5Event APEX 64.61Rank 29Record 2-4-1Status establishedConfidence 76

11216FLAZIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 206.4Event APEX 127.24Rank 5Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6429, 10689, 7444

/ 100 compat

Projected

295.5 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6429, 10689, 7444

Auto

61.0 21%

Teleop

176.5 60%

Endgame

54.3 19%

Strengths

· 6429 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6985, 9089, 11216

/ 100 compat

Projected

289.2 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6985, 9089, 11216

Auto

62.9 22%

Teleop

170.3 60%

Endgame

49.8 18%

Strengths

· 11216 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.55 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score295.5pts

Blue projected score289.2pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 6.2
Score range: 264–320
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 587 vs event baseline 138.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

457.4Season APEX488.6

61Auto62.9

176.5Teleop170.3

54.3Endgame49.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	78	82
teleop	67	229
endgame	39	82
foul	5	5
total	189	398

Result

Final score

189 – 398

Prediction missed · off by 107.6 pts

Match videos

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