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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
Haliç Regional

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

413.01 – 157

96%4%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

275 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 82.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 540.6 ±15.9
2905Sultans of Turkiye
A
Season APEX 277.2Event APEX 251.72Rank 1Record 7-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
7050SARNIC
Provisional
Season APEX 95.3Event APEX 24.22Rank 12Record 5-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
7840EMONER ROBOTICS
B
Season APEX 168.1Event APEX 137.07Rank 3Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 430.6 ±16
11442FEKAL ROBOTICS
Provisional
Season APEX 109.4Event APEX 51.39Rank 7Record 5-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
8595This Is How We Play
A
Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 103.03Rank 13Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
10598TADroid
D
Season APEX 58Event APEX 2.58Rank 25Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2905, 7050, 7840
82
/ 100 compat
Projected
413 pts
~2.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 2905, 7050, 7840
Auto
85.8 21%
Teleop
232.4 56%
Endgame
94.9 23%
Strengths
  • · 2905 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11442, 8595, 10598
74
/ 100 compat
Projected
157 pts
~0.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 11442, 8595, 10598
Auto
32.1 22%
Teleop
76.4 52%
Endgame
38.7 26%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.61
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score413pts
Blue projected score157pts
Red win probability96%
Event bonus sample132alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
256
Score range
132–438
Upset likelihood
4%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 459 vs event baseline 136.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

540.6Season APEX430.6
85.8Auto32.1
232.4Teleop76.4
94.9Endgame38.7
0Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto7836
teleop102100
endgame9528
foul020
total275184

Result

Final score

275 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 82.5 pts

Match videos

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