Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.3 – 112.02

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

74 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 2.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 171.7 ±20

6228MAT Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 41.06Rank 23Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9247SainTech Robotics

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 21.97Rank 15Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

8308GFLRobotics

Provisional

Season APEX 73.4Event APEX 7.27Rank 10Record 5-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.1 ±13.3

8859Bora Robotics

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 23.61Rank 27Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10202NOVATRON

Season APEX 137.7Event APEX 27.5Rank 22Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8151Wildfire

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 60.91Rank 9Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6228, 9247, 8308

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.3 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 6228, 9247, 8308

Auto

19.5 30%

Teleop

34.7 53%

Endgame

11.2 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8859, 10202, 8151

/ 100 compat

Projected

112 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 8859, 10202, 8151

Auto

16.3 15%

Teleop

63.7 59%

Endgame

27.3 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score70.3pts

Blue projected score112pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -41.7
Score range: 45–137
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 188 vs event baseline 137.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

171.7Season APEX281.1

19.5Auto16.3

34.7Teleop63.7

11.2Endgame27.3

35Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	24
teleop	34	53
endgame	21	37
foul	5	0
total	74	114

Result

Final score

74 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 2.8 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.