Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

278.09 – 80.97

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

357 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 52.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 457.4 ±17.5

64294th Dimension

Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 134.83Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10689KAGITHANE TEKNOLOJI TAKIMI

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 39.26Rank 26Record 2-4-1Status establishedConfidence 76

7444MOON STAR ROBOTICS

Season APEX 149Event APEX 104Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.7 ±20

8308GFLRobotics

Provisional

Season APEX 73.4Event APEX 15.22Rank 10Record 5-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6228MAT Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 42.03Rank 23Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9247SainTech Robotics

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 23.72Rank 15Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6429, 10689, 7444

/ 100 compat

Projected

278.1 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6429, 10689, 7444

Auto

58.2 21%

Teleop

164.3 60%

Endgame

49.8 18%

Strengths

· 6429 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8308, 6228, 9247

/ 100 compat

Projected

81 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 8308, 6228, 9247

Auto

21.4 29%

Teleop

44.5 60%

Endgame

8.6 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.35 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score278.1pts

Blue projected score81pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 197.1
Score range: 57–302
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 412 vs event baseline 132.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

457.4Season APEX171.7

58.2Auto21.4

164.3Teleop44.5

49.8Endgame8.6

0Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	17
teleop	215	20
endgame	72	18
foul	0	0
total	357	55

Result

Final score

357 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 52.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.