Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

377.74 – 184.08

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

496 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 71.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 532.1 ±12.2

2905Sultans of Turkiye

Season APEX 277.2Event APEX 239.64Rank 1Record 7-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9231Haydarpasa Panthers

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 12.85Rank 17Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7840EMONER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 168.1Event APEX 125.25Rank 3Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235.5 ±16

8806Our Lady of Providence Dream League

Season APEX 121.4Event APEX 73.6Rank 11Record 4-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8182Loth Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 61Event APEX 50.07Rank 20Record 3-3-1Status provisionalConfidence 74

6014ARC

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 60.41Rank 35Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2905, 9231, 7840

/ 100 compat

Projected

377.7 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2905, 9231, 7840

Auto

75.2 20%

Teleop

223.6 59%

Endgame

77.8 21%

Strengths

· 2905 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8806, 8182, 6014

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.1 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 8806, 8182, 6014

Auto

24.4 14%

Teleop

106.6 59%

Endgame

49.3 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score377.7pts

Blue projected score184.1pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 193.7
Score range: 161–401
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 705 vs event baseline 127.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

532.1Season APEX235.5

75.2Auto24.4

223.6Teleop106.6

77.8Endgame49.3

52Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	87	26
teleop	301	108
endgame	108	70
foul	0	5
total	496	209

Result

Final score

496 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 71.6 pts

Match videos

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