Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

327.13 – 308.55

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

248 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 117.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 488.6 ±14.8

6985ENKA TECH

Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 111.07Rank 4Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9089ACS Phoenix

Season APEX 88.5Event APEX 75.44Rank 29Record 2-4-1Status establishedConfidence 76

11216FLAZIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 206.4Event APEX 140.62Rank 5Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 457.4 ±17.5

64294th Dimension

Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 141.59Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10689KAGITHANE TEKNOLOJI TAKIMI

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 49.15Rank 26Record 2-4-1Status establishedConfidence 76

7444MOON STAR ROBOTICS

Season APEX 149Event APEX 117.81Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6985, 9089, 11216

/ 100 compat

Projected

327.1 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6985, 9089, 11216

Auto

70.5 22%

Teleop

189.6 59%

Endgame

59.9 19%

Strengths

· 11216 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6429, 10689, 7444

/ 100 compat

Projected

308.6 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6429, 10689, 7444

Auto

64.3 21%

Teleop

173.5 57%

Endgame

66.0 22%

Strengths

· 6429 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score327.1pts

Blue projected score308.6pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 18.6
Score range: 282–354
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 401 vs event baseline 147.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

488.6Season APEX457.4

70.5Auto64.3

189.6Teleop173.5

59.9Endgame66

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	87	43
teleop	105	82
endgame	46	28
foul	10	0
total	248	153

Result

Final score

248 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 117.3 pts

Match videos

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