Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

97.39 – 56.58

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

140 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 39.1 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 355.3 ±16.8

9497NIMBLE PANTHER

Provisional

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX -Rank 16Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

6985ENKA TECH

Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 57.14Rank 4Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8859Bora Robotics

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 20Rank 27Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 156.7 ±17.6

11010Bobcats

Season APEX 69Event APEX 10.29Rank 28Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8759ARPEX

Provisional

Season APEX 35.8Event APEX 20Rank 34Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

9247SainTech Robotics

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 26.29Rank 15Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9497, 6985, 8859

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.4 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9497, 6985, 8859

Auto

16.4 17%

Teleop

63.6 67%

Endgame

14.6 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11010, 8759, 9247

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.6 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 11010, 8759, 9247

Auto

18.3 37%

Teleop

25.2 51%

Endgame

6.0 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score97.4pts

Blue projected score56.6pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40.8
Score range: 35–119
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 161 vs event baseline 121.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

355.3Season APEX156.7

10.3Auto18.3

53.4Teleop25.2

10.6Endgame6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	13
teleop	55	5
endgame	28	3
foul	0	0
total	140	21

Result

Final score

140 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 39.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.