Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
54.46 – 54.46
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
314 – 80
Prediction correct · off by 142.5 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 488.3 ±16.4
Season APEX 277.2Event APEX -Rank 1Record 7-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 137.7Event APEX -Rank 22Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
8308GFLRobotics
Provisional
Season APEX 73.4Event APEX -Rank 10Record 5-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 163 ±18
Season APEX 53.1Event APEX -Rank 35Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
10251Chimera
Provisional
Season APEX 23.1Event APEX -Rank 39Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 69
Season APEX 86.8Event APEX -Rank 17Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2905, 10202, 8308
50
/ 100 compatProjected
54.5 pts
~1.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 2905, 10202, 8308
Auto
16.3 30%
Teleop
27.2 50%
Endgame
10.9 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6014, 10251, 9231
50
/ 100 compatProjected
54.5 pts
~1.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 6014, 10251, 9231
Auto
16.3 30%
Teleop
27.2 50%
Endgame
10.9 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.28
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score54.5pts
Blue projected score54.5pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample132alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 24%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 34–74
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
488.3Season APEX163
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 74 | 24 |
| teleop | 205 | 47 |
| endgame | 35 | 9 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 314 | 80 |
Result
Final score
314 – 80
Prediction correct · off by 142.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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