Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 52.63

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

10 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 9.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 130.9 ±21.7

8759ARPEX

Provisional

Season APEX 35.8Event APEX -0.69Rank 34Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

11371Odyssey

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX -0.08Rank 19Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

11392Gulf Tech

Provisional

Season APEX 36.3Event APEX -16.08Rank 31Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 142.9 ±23.1

6228MAT Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 44.68Rank 23Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10251Chimera

Provisional

Season APEX 23.1Event APEX -7.48Rank 39Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

8308GFLRobotics

Provisional

Season APEX 73.4Event APEX 15.43Rank 10Record 5-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8759, 11371, 11392

/ 100 compat

Projected

-16.8 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8759, 11371, 11392

Auto

16.4 0%

Teleop

-21.6 100%

Endgame

-13.8 73%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6228, 10251, 8308

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.6 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 6228, 10251, 8308

Auto

14.9 40%

Teleop

21.8 59%

Endgame

0.2 1%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.95 · Blue 1.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score-16.8pts

Blue projected score52.6pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -52.6
Score range: -23–76
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 72 vs event baseline 129.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

130.9Season APEX142.9

16.4Auto14.9

-21.6Teleop21.8

-13.8Endgame0.2

57Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	14
teleop	0	34
endgame	0	14
foul	0	0
total	10	62

Result

Final score

10 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 9.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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