Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

329.04 – 201.15

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

493 – 278

Prediction correct · off by 120.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 578.3 ±12.2

6985ENKA TECH

Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 60.2Rank 4Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9232IBBTECH

Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 50.06Rank 8Record 5-1-1Status establishedConfidence 97

2905Sultans of Turkiye

Season APEX 277.2Event APEX 218.78Rank 1Record 7-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 360.7 ±19.4

64294th Dimension

Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 123.93Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

8182Loth Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 61Event APEX 47.7Rank 20Record 3-3-1Status provisionalConfidence 74

10236REXTED

Provisional

Season APEX 45Event APEX 29.52Rank 24Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6985, 9232, 2905

/ 100 compat

Projected

329 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 6985, 9232, 2905

Auto

69.9 22%

Teleop

197.7 61%

Endgame

56.2 17%

Strengths

· 2905 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6429, 8182, 10236

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.2 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6429, 8182, 10236

Auto

36.4 18%

Teleop

128.7 65%

Endgame

33.6 17%

Strengths

· 6429 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score329pts

Blue projected score201.2pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 127.9
Score range: 178–352
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 771 vs event baseline 125.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

578.3Season APEX360.7

69.9Auto36.4

197.7Teleop128.7

56.2Endgame33.6

126Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	119	56
teleop	298	133
endgame	76	89
foul	0	0
total	493	278

Result

Final score

493 – 278

Prediction correct · off by 120.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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