Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

66.57 – 220.39

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

149 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 59.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 368.1 ±18.1

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 80.3Rank 13Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9020MCT Galatasaray Robotics

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 10.85Rank 32Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 86

9591DESTAN

Provisional

Season APEX 29.2Event APEX -24.58Rank 42Record 1-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 521.8 ±16.8

8308GFLRobotics

Provisional

Season APEX 73.4Event APEX 30.72Rank 10Record 5-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

64294th Dimension

Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 125.28Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

6985ENKA TECH

Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 64.39Rank 4Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8595, 9020, 9591

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.6 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 8595, 9020, 9591

Auto

34.1 47%

Teleop

40.6 56%

Endgame

-2.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8308, 6429, 6985

/ 100 compat

Projected

220.4 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 8308, 6429, 6985

Auto

58.0 26%

Teleop

153.0 70%

Endgame

8.4 4%

Strengths

· 6429 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.72 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score66.6pts

Blue projected score220.4pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -153.8
Score range: 45–242
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 333 vs event baseline 123.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

368.1Season APEX521.8

34.1Auto58

40.6Teleop153

-2Endgame8.4

134Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	61
teleop	81	93
endgame	36	5
foul	10	25
total	149	184

Result

Final score

149 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 59.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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