Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

56.42 – 0

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

55 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 14.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 187.1 ±23.7

11392Gulf Tech

Provisional

Season APEX 36.3Event APEX -14.36Rank 31Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

9497NIMBLE PANTHER

Provisional

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 47.33Rank 16Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

11388STEAM & IRON ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 23.45Rank 18Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 105.4 ±23.7

10236REXTED

Provisional

Season APEX 45Event APEX 23.52Rank 24Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX -9.01Rank 40Record 1-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

10445HYPERVOLT

Provisional

Season APEX 23.7Event APEX -19.73Rank 43Record 0-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11392, 9497, 11388

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.4 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 11392, 9497, 11388

Auto

28.8 61%

Teleop

-5.0 0%

Endgame

23.3 49%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10236, 10243, 10445

/ 100 compat

Projected

-5.2 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10236, 10243, 10445

Auto

-0.7 12%

Teleop

-3.0 53%

Endgame

-2.0 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score56.4pts

Blue projected score-5.2pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 56.4
Score range: -22–78
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 83 vs event baseline 124.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

187.1Season APEX105.4

28.8Auto-0.7

-5Teleop-3

23.3Endgame-2

27Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	12
teleop	10	11
endgame	5	0
foul	25	5
total	55	28

Result

Final score

55 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 14.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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