Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

5.1 – 252.33

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

40 – 434

Prediction correct · off by 108.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 129.7 ±20.7

10251Chimera

Provisional

Season APEX 23.1Event APEX 10.94Rank 39Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

9247SainTech Robotics

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 2.31Rank 15Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

10521ERA Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX -8.15Rank 38Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 610.1 ±15.3

64294th Dimension

Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 94.41Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

11216FLAZIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 206.4Event APEX 83.43Rank 5Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7444MOON STAR ROBOTICS

Season APEX 149Event APEX 74.49Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10251, 9247, 10521

/ 100 compat

Projected

5.1 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 10251, 9247, 10521

Auto

9.1 100%

Teleop

-9.6 0%

Endgame

8.3 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6429, 11216, 7444

/ 100 compat

Projected

252.3 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6429, 11216, 7444

Auto

66.7 27%

Teleop

140.4 56%

Endgame

42.3 17%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.37 · Blue 2.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score5.1pts

Blue projected score252.3pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -247.2
Score range: -17–274
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 474 vs event baseline 120.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

129.7Season APEX610.1

9.1Auto66.7

-9.6Teleop140.4

8.3Endgame42.3

124Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	56
teleop	12	294
endgame	2	79
foul	15	5
total	40	434

Result

Final score

40 – 434

Prediction correct · off by 108.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.