Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

176.9 – 110.49

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Tie

Final score

169 – 169

Prediction correct · off by 33.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 263.6 ±17.1

8806Our Lady of Providence Dream League

Season APEX 121.4Event APEX 50.74Rank 11Record 4-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

10689KAGITHANE TEKNOLOJI TAKIMI

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 62.78Rank 26Record 2-4-1Status establishedConfidence 76

9089ACS Phoenix

Season APEX 88.5Event APEX 63.38Rank 29Record 2-4-1Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227.2 ±20.1

8182Loth Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 61Event APEX 25.13Rank 20Record 3-3-1Status provisionalConfidence 74

9232IBBTECH

Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 56.55Rank 8Record 5-1-1Status establishedConfidence 97

11453FutureX Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 28.81Rank 30Record 2-4-1Status provisionalConfidence 69

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8806, 10689, 9089

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.9 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 8806, 10689, 9089

Auto

15.1 9%

Teleop

98.6 58%

Endgame

56.2 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8182, 9232, 11453

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.5 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 8182, 9232, 11453

Auto

17.7 16%

Teleop

59.3 53%

Endgame

34.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score176.9pts

Blue projected score110.5pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.4
Score range: 89–198
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 338 vs event baseline 119.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

263.6Season APEX227.2

15.1Auto17.7

98.6Teleop59.3

56.2Endgame34.8

0Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	26
teleop	89	98
endgame	54	35
foul	5	10
total	169	169

Result

Final score

169 – 169

Prediction correct · off by 33.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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