Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

102 – 50.23

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

114 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 6.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 314.4 ±17.3

10236REXTED

Provisional

Season APEX 45Event APEX 20.69Rank 24Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9020MCT Galatasaray Robotics

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 25.52Rank 32Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 86

6985ENKA TECH

Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 55.79Rank 4Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 172.1 ±20.7

10445HYPERVOLT

Provisional

Season APEX 23.7Event APEX -16.99Rank 43Record 0-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

7050SARNIC

Provisional

Season APEX 95.3Event APEX 31.86Rank 12Record 5-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

6014ARC

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 35.36Rank 35Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10236, 9020, 6985

/ 100 compat

Projected

102 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 10236, 9020, 6985

Auto

27.0 23%

Teleop

83.1 72%

Endgame

5.5 5%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10445, 7050, 6014

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.2 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10445, 7050, 6014

Auto

10.2 20%

Teleop

27.7 53%

Endgame

13.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score102pts

Blue projected score50.2pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 51.8
Score range: 28–124
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 164 vs event baseline 121.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

314.4Season APEX172.1

27Auto10.2

83.1Teleop27.7

5.5Endgame13.9

71Consistency115

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	39
teleop	72	11
endgame	0	0
foul	0	0
total	114	50

Result

Final score

114 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 6.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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