Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.29 – 243.81

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

69 – 325

Prediction correct · off by 55.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 185.4 ±18.5

8859Bora Robotics

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 18.64Rank 27Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11371Odyssey

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 5.54Rank 19Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

10549Robocretors Team

Provisional

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 15.11Rank 37Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 423.3 ±19.4

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX -16.58Rank 40Record 1-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

2905Sultans of Turkiye

Season APEX 277.2Event APEX 177.53Rank 1Record 7-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11442FEKAL ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 109.4Event APEX 82.86Rank 7Record 5-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8859, 11371, 10549

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.3 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 8859, 11371, 10549

Auto

22.5 67%

Teleop

5.5 16%

Endgame

5.7 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10243, 2905, 11442

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.8 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 10243, 2905, 11442

Auto

30.8 13%

Teleop

162.3 68%

Endgame

46.1 19%

Strengths

· 2905 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.5 · Blue 2.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score39.3pts

Blue projected score243.8pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -204.5
Score range: 18–265
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 394 vs event baseline 118.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

185.4Season APEX423.3

22.5Auto30.8

5.5Teleop162.3

5.7Endgame46.1

86Consistency171

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	10
teleop	53	201
endgame	0	104
foul	5	10
total	69	325

Result

Final score

69 – 325

Prediction correct · off by 55.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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