Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

97.72 – 104.94

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

262 – 111

Prediction missed · off by 85.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 428.5 ±19.5

9089ACS Phoenix

Season APEX 88.5Event APEX 24.8Rank 29Record 2-4-1Status establishedConfidence 76

64294th Dimension

Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 60.08Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

11388STEAM & IRON ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 12.84Rank 18Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.1 ±18.4

8308GFLRobotics

Provisional

Season APEX 73.4Event APEX 61.06Rank 10Record 5-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10689KAGITHANE TEKNOLOJI TAKIMI

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 46.33Rank 26Record 2-4-1Status establishedConfidence 76

11010Bobcats

Season APEX 69Event APEX -2.45Rank 28Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9089, 6429, 11388

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.7 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9089, 6429, 11388

Auto

21.6 26%

Teleop

60.1 72%

Endgame

2.3 3%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8308, 10689, 11010

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.9 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 8308, 10689, 11010

Auto

5.6 6%

Teleop

81.1 81%

Endgame

13.0 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score97.7pts

Blue projected score104.9pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -7.2
Score range: 77–126
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 373 vs event baseline 116.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

428.5Season APEX196.1

21.6Auto5.6

60.1Teleop81.1

2.3Endgame13

117Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	27
teleop	141	47
endgame	71	7
foul	0	30
total	262	111

Result

Final score

262 – 111

Prediction missed · off by 85.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.