Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

70.33 – 10.05

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

112 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 44.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 297 ±13.9

9232IBBTECH

Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 37.31Rank 8Record 5-1-1Status establishedConfidence 97

9247SainTech Robotics

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX -7.97Rank 15Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

10202NOVATRON

Season APEX 137.7Event APEX 40.99Rank 22Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 143.7 ±23.2

10203LANCE

Provisional

Season APEX 53.5Event APEX 8.69Rank 33Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

9591DESTAN

Provisional

Season APEX 29.2Event APEX -18.7Rank 42Record 1-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

8182Loth Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 61Event APEX 20.06Rank 20Record 3-3-1Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9232, 9247, 10202

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.3 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9232, 9247, 10202

Auto

35.9 49%

Teleop

26.7 36%

Endgame

10.8 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10203, 9591, 8182

/ 100 compat

Projected

10 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10203, 9591, 8182

Auto

12.8 100%

Teleop

0.9 8%

Endgame

-3.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.79 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score70.3pts

Blue projected score10pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 60.3
Score range: -11–91
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 170 vs event baseline 117.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

297Season APEX143.7

35.9Auto12.8

26.7Teleop0.9

10.8Endgame-3

45Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	16
teleop	53	18
endgame	37	24
foul	0	0
total	112	58

Result

Final score

112 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 44.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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