Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

50.97 – 62.08

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 16.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 101.1 ±23.7

9555TEAM HELIOS

Provisional

Season APEX 33Event APEX 20.8Rank 41Record 1-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

10236REXTED

Provisional

Season APEX 45Event APEX 30.28Rank 24Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

10251Chimera

Provisional

Season APEX 23.1Event APEX -0.11Rank 39Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 240.8 ±13.9

11010Bobcats

Season APEX 69Event APEX 7.18Rank 28Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8859Bora Robotics

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 18.04Rank 27Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9020MCT Galatasaray Robotics

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 36.86Rank 32Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 86

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9555, 10236, 10251

/ 100 compat

Projected

51 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9555, 10236, 10251

Auto

12.9 27%

Teleop

25.6 54%

Endgame

9.0 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11010, 8859, 9020

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.1 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 11010, 8859, 9020

Auto

22.0 43%

Teleop

37.5 74%

Endgame

-8.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score51pts

Blue projected score62.1pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -11.1
Score range: 30–83
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 80 vs event baseline 116.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

101.1Season APEX240.8

12.9Auto22

25.6Teleop37.5

9Endgame-8.5

71Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	11
teleop	25	32
endgame	6	0
foul	0	0
total	37	43

Result

Final score

37 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 16.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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