Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

22.1374.65

34%66%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

986

Prediction correct · off by 12.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 126 ±24.2
Season APEX 58.8Event APEX -3.46Rank 30Record 2-4-1Status provisionalConfidence 69
Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 8.97Rank 40Record 1-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 69
Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 16.62Rank 37Record 2-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 69
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 197.2 ±20.7
11335MARETECH
Provisional
Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 14.91Rank 14Record 5-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 69
8308GFLRobotics
Provisional
Season APEX 73.4Event APEX 67.55Rank 10Record 5-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Season APEX 51.9Event APEX -7.81Rank 15Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11453, 10243, 10549
17
/ 100 compat
Projected
22.1 pts
~1.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 11453, 10243, 10549
Auto
8.3 36%
Teleop
18.0 79%
Endgame
-3.5 0%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11335, 8308, 9247
44
/ 100 compat
Projected
74.6 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 11335, 8308, 9247
Auto
41.6 54%
Teleop
39.3 51%
Endgame
-4.2 0%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.08 · Blue 1.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score22.1pts
Blue projected score74.6pts
Red win probability34%
Event bonus sample132alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-52.5
Score range
196
Upset likelihood
34%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 95 vs event baseline 119.2.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

126Season APEX197.2
8.3Auto41.6
18Teleop39.3
-3.5Endgame-4.2
59Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto416
teleop450
endgame120
foul00
total986

Result

Final score

986

Prediction correct · off by 12.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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