Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

74.67 – 81.16

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

63 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 20.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.7 ±20.7

10445HYPERVOLT

Provisional

Season APEX 23.7Event APEX 42.1Rank 43Record 0-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

9025Mechameleons

Season APEX 132.2Event APEX 32.07Rank 21Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11453FutureX Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 0.5Rank 30Record 2-4-1Status provisionalConfidence 69

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 400.3 ±14.5

64294th Dimension

Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 42.1Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

9231Haydarpasa Panthers

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 38.56Rank 17Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11371Odyssey

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 0.5Rank 19Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10445, 9025, 11453

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.7 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 10445, 9025, 11453

Auto

12.4 16%

Teleop

51.9 69%

Endgame

10.9 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6429, 9231, 11371

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.2 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6429, 9231, 11371

Auto

17.3 21%

Teleop

58.8 72%

Endgame

5.7 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score74.7pts

Blue projected score81.2pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6.5
Score range: 54–102
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 173 vs event baseline 116.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

214.7Season APEX400.3

12.4Auto17.3

51.9Teleop58.8

10.9Endgame5.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	42
teleop	29	63
endgame	23	0
foul	0	5
total	63	110

Result

Final score

63 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 20.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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