Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

126.74 – 71.53

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

92 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 35.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 363.7 ±13.9

9247SainTech Robotics

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 17.76Rank 15Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 95

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 94.51Rank 13Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10383Robistim

Season APEX 48.6Event APEX 14.47Rank 36Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.8 ±19.1

9089ACS Phoenix

Season APEX 88.5Event APEX 62.19Rank 29Record 2-4-1Status establishedConfidence 76

11010Bobcats

Season APEX 69Event APEX 20.44Rank 28Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11392Gulf Tech

Provisional

Season APEX 36.3Event APEX -11.1Rank 31Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9247, 8595, 10383

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.7 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9247, 8595, 10383

Auto

36.2 28%

Teleop

68.0 52%

Endgame

26.5 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9089, 11010, 11392

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.5 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9089, 11010, 11392

Auto

20.6 33%

Teleop

29.2 47%

Endgame

11.7 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.77 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score126.7pts

Blue projected score71.5pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 55.2
Score range: 45–154
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 128 vs event baseline 151.3.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

363.7Season APEX193.8

36.2Auto20.6

68Teleop29.2

26.5Endgame11.7

91Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	8
teleop	40	8
endgame	11	5
foul	0	15
total	92	36

Result

Final score

92 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 35.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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