Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

394.78 – 233.52

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

334 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 60.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 532.1 ±12.2

2905Sultans of Turkiye

Season APEX 277.2Event APEX 240.97Rank 1Record 7-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9231Haydarpasa Panthers

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 27.78Rank 17Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7840EMONER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 168.1Event APEX 126.03Rank 3Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 465.6 ±16.3

6985ENKA TECH

Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 94.2Rank 4Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9497NIMBLE PANTHER

Provisional

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 15.97Rank 16Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

11216FLAZIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 206.4Event APEX 123.35Rank 5Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2905, 9231, 7840

/ 100 compat

Projected

394.8 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 2905, 9231, 7840

Auto

69.7 18%

Teleop

230.9 60%

Endgame

86.6 22%

Strengths

· 2905 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6985, 9497, 11216

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.5 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6985, 9497, 11216

Auto

57.9 26%

Teleop

132.6 58%

Endgame

36.3 16%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score394.8pts

Blue projected score233.5pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 161.3
Score range: 207–422
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 507 vs event baseline 149.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

532.1Season APEX465.6

69.7Auto57.9

230.9Teleop132.6

86.6Endgame36.3

3Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	90	60
teleop	179	87
endgame	50	26
foul	15	0
total	334	173

Result

Final score

334 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 60.6 pts

Match videos

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