Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

391.73 – 315.43

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

401 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 139.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 532.1 ±12.2

2905Sultans of Turkiye

Season APEX 277.2Event APEX 239.73Rank 1Record 7-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9231Haydarpasa Panthers

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 26.63Rank 17Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7840EMONER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 168.1Event APEX 125.37Rank 3Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 488.6 ±14.8

6985ENKA TECH

Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 107.22Rank 4Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9089ACS Phoenix

Season APEX 88.5Event APEX 71.79Rank 29Record 2-4-1Status establishedConfidence 76

11216FLAZIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 206.4Event APEX 136.42Rank 5Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2905, 9231, 7840

/ 100 compat

Projected

391.7 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 2905, 9231, 7840

Auto

65.3 17%

Teleop

226.3 59%

Endgame

90.9 24%

Strengths

· 2905 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6985, 9089, 11216

/ 100 compat

Projected

315.4 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 6985, 9089, 11216

Auto

73.5 24%

Teleop

176.3 57%

Endgame

58.0 19%

Strengths

· 11216 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.97 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score391.7pts

Blue projected score315.4pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 76.3
Score range: 288–419
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 447 vs event baseline 148.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

532.1Season APEX488.6

65.3Auto73.5

226.3Teleop176.3

90.9Endgame58

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	87	26
teleop	247	20
endgame	67	0
foul	0	0
total	401	46

Result

Final score

401 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 139.4 pts

Match videos

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