Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

430.87 – 61.64

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

365 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 48.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 486.8 ±11.7

7539Elev8

Season APEX 213.1Event APEX 209.47Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9024Callister

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 26.93Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6989KAISER

Season APEX 217.6Event APEX 194.47Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 99.7 ±17.9

9502Idigna

Season APEX 36.5Event APEX 30.78Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

10247RedFox

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 20.33Rank 33Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9467EsRobotik

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 10.53Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7539, 9024, 6989

/ 100 compat

Projected

430.9 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7539, 9024, 6989

Auto

71.7 17%

Teleop

249.7 58%

Endgame

112.6 26%

Strengths

· 7539 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9502, 10247, 9467

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.6 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9502, 10247, 9467

Auto

16.1 28%

Teleop

33.0 57%

Endgame

8.9 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score430.9pts

Blue projected score61.6pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 369.2
Score range: 35–458
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 395 vs event baseline 147.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

486.8Season APEX99.7

71.7Auto16.1

249.7Teleop33

112.6Endgame8.9

12Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	111	18
teleop	194	12
endgame	60	0
foul	0	0
total	365	30

Result

Final score

365 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 48.8 pts

Match videos

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