Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

265.6 – 53.44

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

343 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 45.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 274.1 ±11.2

9583Lavender Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 4.91Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9232IBBTECH

Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 98.15Rank 6Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9025Mechameleons

Season APEX 132.2Event APEX 162.54Rank 4Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 99.7 ±17.9

10247RedFox

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 18.52Rank 33Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9502Idigna

Season APEX 36.5Event APEX 27.78Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9467EsRobotik

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 7.14Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9583, 9232, 9025

/ 100 compat

Projected

265.6 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9583, 9232, 9025

Auto

46.3 18%

Teleop

129.8 52%

Endgame

74.7 30%

Strengths

· 9025 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10247, 9502, 9467

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.4 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10247, 9502, 9467

Auto

16.6 32%

Teleop

28.8 55%

Endgame

6.5 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score265.6pts

Blue projected score53.4pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 212.2
Score range: 25–294
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 383 vs event baseline 154.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

274.1Season APEX99.7

46.3Auto16.6

129.8Teleop28.8

74.7Endgame6.5

19Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	17
teleop	187	6
endgame	88	12
foul	0	5
total	343	40

Result

Final score

343 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 45.4 pts

Match videos

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