Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

201.45 – 27.26

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

273 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 46.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 346.6 ±16.7

8220Space Tigers MBA Robotics

Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 36.43Rank 10Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9609Paraducks

Season APEX 246.2Event APEX 161.94Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10216QUANTUMBEE

Provisional

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 3.08Rank 30Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 101.6 ±19.6

9479CREDENTIS

Provisional

Season APEX 21.4Event APEX 2.77Rank 29Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9523Archers

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 24.71Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

8500ROBEST Robotics

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX -0.22Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8220, 9609, 10216

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.5 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 8220, 9609, 10216

Auto

44.4 22%

Teleop

110.9 56%

Endgame

42.4 21%

Strengths

· 9609 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9479, 9523, 8500

/ 100 compat

Projected

27.3 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9479, 9523, 8500

Auto

18.0 95%

Teleop

-3.1 0%

Endgame

4.0 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score201.5pts

Blue projected score27.3pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 174.2
Score range: 0–228
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 321 vs event baseline 147.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

346.6Season APEX101.6

44.4Auto18

110.9Teleop-3.1

42.4Endgame4

23Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	72	15
teleop	85	28
endgame	116	5
foul	0	0
total	273	48

Result

Final score

273 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 46.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.