Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

124.12 – 250.25

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

116 – 313

Prediction correct · off by 35.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 189 ±15.3

9232IBBTECH

Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 89.64Rank 6Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6025Adroit Androids

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 24.66Rank 9Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10043Conscius Robotics

Season APEX 39.7Event APEX 9.82Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 303.7 ±14.1

10244WOLFS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 19.36Rank 17Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7539Elev8

Season APEX 213.1Event APEX 204.61Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11154XR-Boot

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 26.28Rank 20Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9232, 6025, 10043

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.1 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9232, 6025, 10043

Auto

32.6 32%

Teleop

39.8 39%

Endgame

29.7 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10244, 7539, 11154

/ 100 compat

Projected

250.3 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 10244, 7539, 11154

Auto

57.1 22%

Teleop

132.0 51%

Endgame

68.1 26%

Strengths

· 7539 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.88 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score124.1pts

Blue projected score250.3pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -126.1
Score range: 98–276
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 429 vs event baseline 146.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

189Season APEX303.7

32.6Auto57.1

39.8Teleop132

29.7Endgame68.1

50Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	70
teleop	71	152
endgame	23	91
foul	0	0
total	116	313

Result

Final score

116 – 313

Prediction correct · off by 35.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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