Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

271.98 – 76.47

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

256 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 20.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 305.1 ±16

9074Roboant

Season APEX 51Event APEX 40.88Rank 26Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 77

6989KAISER

Season APEX 217.6Event APEX 197.73Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9502Idigna

Season APEX 36.5Event APEX 33.37Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 129 ±19.1

8777SafranTech

Provisional

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 16.83Rank 32Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8783Apeiron

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 45.55Rank 14Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9467EsRobotik

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 14.09Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9074, 6989, 9502

/ 100 compat

Projected

272 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9074, 6989, 9502

Auto

39.4 15%

Teleop

156.9 59%

Endgame

71.9 27%

Strengths

· 6989 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8777, 8783, 9467

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.5 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 8777, 8783, 9467

Auto

10.2 12%

Teleop

49.1 59%

Endgame

23.8 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score272pts

Blue projected score76.5pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 195.5
Score range: 50–298
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 308 vs event baseline 146.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

305.1Season APEX129

39.4Auto10.2

156.9Teleop49.1

71.9Endgame23.8

7Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	15
teleop	162	18
endgame	43	19
foul	0	0
total	256	52

Result

Final score

256 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 20.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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