Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

136.37 – 218.26

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 41.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 223 ±18

9029Team NF

Season APEX 203.7Event APEX 135.75Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9479CREDENTIS

Provisional

Season APEX 21.4Event APEX 8.87Rank 29Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10548TechTonic Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX -2.1Event APEX -8.25Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 287.3 ±10.5

9583Lavender Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 3.76Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10043Conscius Robotics

Season APEX 39.7Event APEX 9.16Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7539Elev8

Season APEX 213.1Event APEX 205.34Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9029, 9479, 10548

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.4 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9029, 9479, 10548

Auto

41.5 32%

Teleop

76.5 59%

Endgame

12.0 9%

Strengths

· 9029 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9583, 10043, 7539

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.3 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9583, 10043, 7539

Auto

44.9 22%

Teleop

107.4 53%

Endgame

48.9 24%

Strengths

· 7539 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.97 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score136.4pts

Blue projected score218.3pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -81.9
Score range: 110–244
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 271 vs event baseline 147.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

223Season APEX287.3

41.5Auto44.9

76.5Teleop107.4

12Endgame48.9

31Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	59
teleop	28	95
endgame	8	60
foul	5	0
total	57	214

Result

Final score

57 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 41.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree