Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

55.72 – 355.77

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

65 – 353

Prediction correct · off by 6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 131 ±16.9

10142ANDROMEDA

Season APEX 19.7Event APEX 6.11Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

8220Space Tigers MBA Robotics

Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 33.61Rank 10Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

10244WOLFS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 16Rank 17Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 486.9 ±13.1

6989KAISER

Season APEX 217.6Event APEX 196.42Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9609Paraducks

Season APEX 246.2Event APEX 158.35Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9473CYGNUS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 23.1Event APEX 1Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10142, 8220, 10244

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.7 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10142, 8220, 10244

Auto

5.9 11%

Teleop

29.6 53%

Endgame

20.2 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6989, 9609, 9473

/ 100 compat

Projected

355.8 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6989, 9609, 9473

Auto

69.1 20%

Teleop

194.2 56%

Endgame

84.5 24%

Strengths

· 6989 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.53 · Blue 2.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score55.7pts

Blue projected score355.8pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -300
Score range: 29–383
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 418 vs event baseline 148.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

131Season APEX486.9

5.9Auto69.1

29.6Teleop194.2

20.2Endgame84.5

9Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	46
teleop	26	203
endgame	19	104
foul	0	0
total	65	353

Result

Final score

65 – 353

Prediction correct · off by 6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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