Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

99.28 – 137.11

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 22.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 159.9 ±20.2

10216QUANTUMBEE

Provisional

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 4.19Rank 30Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10353HATAY ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 31.87Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9021uSELESScASE

Season APEX 71.4Event APEX 63.22Rank 15Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 195 ±17.5

9074Roboant

Season APEX 51Event APEX 37.25Rank 26Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9467EsRobotik

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 11.56Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9232IBBTECH

Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 88.3Rank 6Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10216, 10353, 9021

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.3 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 10216, 10353, 9021

Auto

18.3 18%

Teleop

59.5 59%

Endgame

22.4 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9074, 9467, 9232

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.1 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9074, 9467, 9232

Auto

29.2 21%

Teleop

78.1 56%

Endgame

33.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score99.3pts

Blue projected score137.1pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -37.8
Score range: 72–164
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 211 vs event baseline 149.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

159.9Season APEX195

18.3Auto29.2

59.5Teleop78.1

22.4Endgame33.2

0Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	14
teleop	29	85
endgame	15	48
foul	0	0
total	64	147

Result

Final score

64 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 22.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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