Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

84.75 – 221.33

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

86 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 1.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 146 ±14.5

9523Archers

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 23.45Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9583Lavender Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 11.32Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10502HARPIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 49.98Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 306.9 ±14.9

6989KAISER

Season APEX 217.6Event APEX 192.22Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10244WOLFS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 22.44Rank 17Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9467EsRobotik

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 6.67Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9523, 9583, 10502

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.8 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9523, 9583, 10502

Auto

20.0 27%

Teleop

32.4 44%

Endgame

21.6 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6989, 10244, 9467

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.3 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 6989, 10244, 9467

Auto

39.7 18%

Teleop

124.4 56%

Endgame

58.1 26%

Strengths

· 6989 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.68 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score84.8pts

Blue projected score221.3pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -136.6
Score range: 54–252
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 309 vs event baseline 169.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

146Season APEX306.9

20Auto39.7

32.4Teleop124.4

21.6Endgame58.1

0Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	51
teleop	36	118
endgame	25	54
foul	5	0
total	86	223

Result

Final score

86 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 1.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.