Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

167.63 – 22.78

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

245 – 26

Prediction correct · off by 40.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 226.8 ±14.9

9025Mechameleons

Season APEX 132.2Event APEX 146.42Rank 4Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6025Adroit Androids

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 15.37Rank 9Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10244WOLFS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 5.84Rank 17Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 115.8 ±17.5

9467EsRobotik

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 9.75Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

7672SCORPIONS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 11.84Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10142ANDROMEDA

Season APEX 19.7Event APEX 1.19Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9025, 6025, 10244

/ 100 compat

Projected

167.6 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9025, 6025, 10244

Auto

40.0 26%

Teleop

70.4 45%

Endgame

45.9 29%

Strengths

· 9025 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9467, 7672, 10142

/ 100 compat

Projected

22.8 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9467, 7672, 10142

Auto

4.2 15%

Teleop

25.9 93%

Endgame

-2.3 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score167.6pts

Blue projected score22.8pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 144.9
Score range: -4–195
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 271 vs event baseline 151.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

226.8Season APEX115.8

40Auto4.2

70.4Teleop25.9

45.9Endgame-2.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	17
teleop	109	9
endgame	80	0
foul	0	0
total	245	26

Result

Final score

245 – 26

Prediction correct · off by 40.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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