Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

309.65 – 5.53

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

339 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 25.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 319.2 ±16

7539Elev8

Season APEX 213.1Event APEX 203.12Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9074Roboant

Season APEX 51Event APEX 52.01Rank 26Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 77

8783Apeiron

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 54.52Rank 14Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 59.5 ±19.6

6025Adroit Androids

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX -0.1Rank 9Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10142ANDROMEDA

Season APEX 19.7Event APEX -6.21Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

10548TechTonic Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX -2.1Event APEX 11.84Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7539, 9074, 8783

/ 100 compat

Projected

309.7 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7539, 9074, 8783

Auto

59.0 20%

Teleop

154.7 52%

Endgame

84.2 28%

Strengths

· 7539 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6025, 10142, 10548

/ 100 compat

Projected

5.5 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6025, 10142, 10548

Auto

0.8 11%

Teleop

3.3 46%

Endgame

3.1 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score309.7pts

Blue projected score5.5pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 304.1
Score range: -21–337
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 367 vs event baseline 150.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

319.2Season APEX59.5

59Auto0.8

154.7Teleop3.3

84.2Endgame3.1

18Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	8
teleop	208	11
endgame	71	9
foul	0	0
total	339	28

Result

Final score

339 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 25.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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