Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

46.11 – 35.08

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

32 – 16

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 130.4 ±16.9

8500ROBEST Robotics

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX -5.11Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9502Idigna

Season APEX 36.5Event APEX 41.13Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

7672SCORPIONS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 10.09Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 108.1 ±17.1

10216QUANTUMBEE

Provisional

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 11.14Rank 30Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10247RedFox

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 17.35Rank 33Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 79

10043Conscius Robotics

Season APEX 39.7Event APEX 6.59Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8500, 9502, 7672

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.1 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 8500, 9502, 7672

Auto

16.8 40%

Teleop

5.8 14%

Endgame

19.2 46%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10216, 10247, 10043

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.1 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 10216, 10247, 10043

Auto

-0.7 0%

Teleop

12.0 37%

Endgame

21.1 65%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.55 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score46.1pts

Blue projected score35.1pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 11
Score range: 7–74
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 48 vs event baseline 154.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

130.4Season APEX108.1

16.8Auto-0.7

5.8Teleop12

19.2Endgame21.1

0Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	8
teleop	10	8
endgame	4	0
foul	0	0
total	32	16

Result

Final score

32 – 16

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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