Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

206.05 – 237.01

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

310 – 254

Prediction missed · off by 60.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 303 ±14.9

10502HARPIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 33.66Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6989KAISER

Season APEX 217.6Event APEX 197.73Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10142ANDROMEDA

Season APEX 19.7Event APEX -25.34Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 325 ±13.9

7594Nautilus

Season APEX 143.3Event APEX 90.74Rank 7Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9025Mechameleons

Season APEX 132.2Event APEX 140.17Rank 4Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10470Sancar Robotics

Season APEX 49.5Event APEX 6.1Rank 11Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10502, 6989, 10142

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.1 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 10502, 6989, 10142

Auto

33.2 16%

Teleop

114.7 55%

Endgame

59.5 29%

Strengths

· 6989 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7594, 9025, 10470

/ 100 compat

Projected

237 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 7594, 9025, 10470

Auto

39.5 17%

Teleop

134.3 57%

Endgame

59.8 26%

Strengths

· 9025 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score206.1pts

Blue projected score237pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31
Score range: 179–264
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 564 vs event baseline 147.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

303Season APEX325

33.2Auto39.5

114.7Teleop134.3

59.5Endgame59.8

13Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	42
teleop	172	150
endgame	90	62
foul	0	0
total	310	254

Result

Final score

310 – 254

Prediction missed · off by 60.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.