Qualification · Qualification 26
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
17.34 – 75.83
33%67%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
48 – 95
Prediction correct · off by 24.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 94.7 ±18.8
10548TechTonic Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX -2.1Event APEX 9.3Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
8777SafranTech
Provisional
Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 9.56Rank 32Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 59.5Event APEX -1.52Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 126.5 ±19.1
Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 2.64Rank 9Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77
10353HATAY ROBOTICS
Provisional
Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 47.88Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 25.31Rank 20Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10548, 8777, 7672
5
/ 100 compatProjected
17.3 pts
~1.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 10548, 8777, 7672
Auto
17.8 72%
Teleop
-10.1 0%
Endgame
16.9 69%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6025, 10353, 11154
29
/ 100 compatProjected
75.8 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 6025, 10353, 11154
Auto
7.8 11%
Teleop
59.3 81%
Endgame
5.7 8%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.05 · Blue 1.8
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score17.3pts
Blue projected score75.8pts
Red win probability33%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 36%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -58.5
- Score range
- -10–103
- Upset likelihood
- 33%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
94.7Season APEX126.5
17.8Auto7.8
-10.1Teleop59.3
16.9Endgame5.7
35Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 37 |
| teleop | 27 | 51 |
| endgame | 6 | 7 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 48 | 95 |
Result
Final score
48 – 95
Prediction correct · off by 24.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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